The UK PMI manufacturing index was lower than expected with a decline to 54.6 for February from a revised 55.7 the previous month.
The index remained above the long-term average and overall confidence remained firm with further gains in employment while inflation pressures remained strong. The net consumer lending, money supply and mortgage approvals releases were all stronger than expected, but Sterling came under renewed selling after the PMI data with a retreat to below 1.2350.
Wider US strength subsequently pushed the pair to 6-week lows below the 1.2300 level while the Euro strengthened to 0.8580. The government lost an Article 50 Amendment vote in the House of Lords over guaranteeing the rights of EU citizens in the UK. Although there will be expectations that the vote will be over-ruled in the House of Commons, there was some negative impact on Sterling sentiment and the UK currency remained firmly on the defensive on Thursday.
Euro Markets are currently pricing in four 25bp rate cuts for 2025 in the EU from 3% to 2% but some analysts are now predicting that rates may go as low as 1.5%. What that means is that EUR will remain weak and allow buyers of EUR to lock in the best levels for years. […]
British Pound With GBP if not all at sea but wallowing against the crashing waves of USD strength, it is a tale of two cities for beleaguered Brits: GBP/USD dipping below the previous floor of 1.2600 but versus EUR GBP still looking firm due to the apparent divergence between the Federal Reserve and the European […]
Germany Gloomy Germans is not an entirely unknown phenomenon for those of us who have toiled in Finanzplatz Deutschland or the Financial Marketplace of Germany which primarily encompasses Frankfurt, Berlin, Dusseldorf and Hamburg. Unfortunately the ZEW German Research Institute are upholding that less than noble tradition in their Economic Sentiment Indicator report that was released […]