SGM-FX insights

Our Daily Brief provides insights into the news and views driving today’s foreign currency exchange rates.

BoE Carney Speaks to IMF

BoE Carney Speaks to IMF

SGM-FX Mon 18 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:     Last week, the minutes published following the Monetary Policy Committee’s Decision rallied the pound sterling. This event triggered an appreciation of the Pound Sterling contributing to intraweek gains in excess of 3 percent. Moreover, the Hawkish conclusion delivered by Gertjan Vlieghe, a traditionally Dovish Committee member, signalled […]

The Week Ahead

The Week Ahead

SGM-FX Fri 15 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   The week that is now behind us has been eventful and tumultuous. One overarching characteristic was a bullish Pound Sterling. Driven by statistics releases and central bank activity, the Pound finished the week trading at its strongest rate against the US Dollar since 23rd June 2016. The intra-week […]

Vlieghe Boosts Sterling’s Gains

Vlieghe Boosts Sterling’s Gains

SGM-FX Fri 15 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   Gertjan Vlieghe, an External member of the Monetary Policy Committee, gave a speech in London today offering an uncharacteristically hawkish conclusion. Whilst the conclusion appeared to be only as aligned to a rate hike as yesterday’s Monetary Policy Decision, the endorsement from a characteristically dovish member, and the […]

Hawkish Message Concealed within Dovish Decision

Hawkish Message Concealed within Dovish Decision

SGM-FX Thu 14 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   This afternoon, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee published what at first sight appeared to be a Dovish decision. However, concealed amidst the interest rate and quantitative easing headlines were more Hawkish undertones. The market, to a significant extent, internalised these comments as a signal of an […]

Early Morning UK Trading

Early Morning UK Trading

SGM-FX Wed 13 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter: Sterling has opened high once again this morning. Since the start of the month, sterling has gained value, now reaching the highest rate against the Dollar for over one year. Sterling now trades around the value it did in the immediate aftermath of the Brexit decision. We analyse why […]

UK CPI Inflation – Part Two

UK CPI Inflation – Part Two

SGM-FX Tue 12 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   PART TWO: Inflation data and the United Kingdom   This morning saw the monthly release of salient macroeconomic data related to prices and inflation. Each major GBP-based currency pair has experienced a rally following the release, leading to an explicit appreciation of the Pound Sterling. This article analyses […]

UK CPI inflation – Part One

UK CPI inflation – Part One

SGM-FX Tue 12 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   PART ONE: Inflation data and Exchange Rates   This morning saw the monthly release of salient macroeconomic data related to prices and inflation. Each major GBP-based currency pair has experienced a rally following the release, leading to an explicit appreciation of the Pound Sterling. This article analyses the […]

The UK amongst the World

The UK amongst the World

SGM-FX Mon 11 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:   This week will challenge the strength of the Great British Pound and thereby generate considerable upside and downside risks. However, the materialisation of UK performance may be subsumed within broader, global, currency trends.   Saying a prayer this weekend was perhaps the most useful form of global speculation. […]

US unemployment and EZ indecision

US unemployment and EZ indecision

SGM-FX Mon 4 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter: Friday Afternoon saw dramatic changes in the value of major international currency pairs. By examining the Sterling-Dollar, Sterling-Euro, and Euro-Dollar rate, the magnitude of two major events is unveiled: firstly, US payroll and unemployment data and, secondly, ECB indecision concerns.   Scheduled for a BST 1:30pm release, payroll and […]

The Week Ahead:

The Week Ahead:

SGM-FX Mon 4 Sep 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter: Whilst markets in the United States observe Labour Day, global markets have a quiet start to the week with a deficit of anticipated, notable and market-orientated announcements. However, as tensions continue to escalate amongst the Korean Peninsula, inducing a global spill over, the week may have more in store […]

Sterling Euro Transformations

Sterling Euro Transformations

SGM-FX Thu 31 Aug 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:       As pessimism continues to surround the UK political economy with consistently positive macroeconomic results being published within the Eurozone, dominant market trends will be difficult to arrest. With this message mind, this article analyses the propensity of events and data releases to manipulate the Sterling-to-Euro (GBPEUR) […]

Part Two: The Week Ahead

Part Two: The Week Ahead

SGM-FX Mon 28 Aug 2017

Discussion and Analysis by Charles Porter:  This is an important week across many of the world’s key currencies. With numerous and salient events battling for supremacy and coverage, ultimately, only time will tell what the aggregation of these event holds in store.   Negotiations on the secession of the United Kingdom from the European Union will […]

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