UK Government Borrowing
News yesterday that the UK government had a surplus ie did not need to borrow in January to the tune of GBP5.4 billion. This followed a December deficit of GBP27.4billion which was the worst performance in the 30 years of records for a December . Before declaring victory that the tide has turned in January it should be remembered that the UK total government borrowing currently stands at GBP2.49 trillion. GBP/USD1.2110.
Dow Jones Index
Poor earnings from some key Main Street stocks including Home Depot yesterday plus geopolitical tensions with President Putin walking away from the nuclear non proliferation treaty last night were enough to more than wobble the Dow. All that plus rising interest rates and economic data pointing to a slow down ahead in the US economy, the latest being home sales at a new recent low. EUR/USD 1.0660
Paczki Day
Yesterday our Polish readers were wishing each other Happy Paczki Day . In case you are wondering it’s pronounced POONCH-key. Wherever you come from yesterday was the last chance to binge on unhealthily califoric cakes/ pancakes ahead of Lent which starts today Ash Wednesday.
GBP/EUR 1.1350
Asda and Morrison
UK supermarkets are introducing vegetable rationing due to shortages: lettuces and tomatoes in Asda restricted to 3 of each per customer. Morrisons are capping cucumbers to 3 per person and restricting other vegetables including peppers. No plans to ration so far at M&S, Sainsbury’s and Tesco, but it can only be a matter of time . It is all down to extreme weather particularly in Spain and North Africa where much of this produce is grown. Meanwhile canny shopping arbitrageurs can shuttle between supermarkets. Next thing doubtlessly will be lettuce hoarding?!
Car Wash
This day in 1977 this number by Rose Royce was not only on every radio station’s playlist but went Platinum.
You might not ever get rich
But let me tell ya it’s better than diggin’ a ditch
There ain’t no tellin’ who you might meet
A movie star or maybe even an Indian chief
At the car wash
Workin’ at the car wash, girl
Come on and sing it with me
(Car wash)
Sing it with the feelin’ y’all
(Car wash, yeah)
Ooh
Come, some of the work gets kinda hard
This ain’t no place to be if you planned on bein’ a star
Let me tell you it’s always cool
And the boss don’t mind sometimes if you act the fool
At the car wash
Whoa whoa whoa whoa
Talkin’ about the car wash, girl
Come on, ya’all and sing it for me
(Car wash)
Ooh ooh ooh
(Car wash, girl)
Discussion and Analysis by Humphrey Percy, Chairman and Founder
Oil Why is oil at the year’s low? Look no further than the litany of reasons affecting the market as a whole. In no particular order: economic slowdown in China; vertiginous drop in Nvidia share price; disappointing economic releases in the USA particularly on Jobs and Manufacturing and last for good measure the expectation that […]
Germany The post WW2 economic much lauded miracle that was Germany is at odds with 2024 Germany which managed a 0.2% increase in GDP in Q1 but fell by 0.1% in Q2. That means that in Q2 Germany has slid to the foot of the table with USA at the other end at +2.8% with […]
US Dollar With Chairman Jerome Powell’s “the time has come” speech at Jackson Hole, Wyoming USA the direction for USD in the next four months is down versus GBP, EUR and JPY. So far so easy in the fraught game of FX forecasting, but it would seem that Chair Powell has concluded that US interest […]